Madrid CFF (K) 0-3 Atletico Madrid (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
4.04
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.75
Over 2.5
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
21%
+11.9pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.8pp
33%
Away Win
53%
-19.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.51/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.37
-100% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.3 Crosses 15.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.02 xG 2.63
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
267 Passes 376
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 4-0 HT 1-0 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
11.02.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Madrid CFF (K)
0-3
AWAY Atletico Madrid (K)
0.73 xG 0.57
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
201 Passes 361
67% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Madrid CFF (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) swept aside Madrid CFF (K) 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Madrid CFF (K) had 41% of the ball to Atletico Madrid (K)'s 59%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 0.73 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Madrid CFF (K) and 2.50 for Atletico Madrid (K).

What was the final score of Madrid CFF (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Madrid CFF (K) 0-3 Atletico Madrid (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Madrid CFF (K) vs Atletico Madrid (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Madrid CFF (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Madrid CFF (K) 33%, draw 33%, Atletico Madrid (K) 33%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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