Atletico Madrid (K) 4-0 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 27 Sep 2024

📅27/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.57
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
33%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
60%
-26.4pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.6pp
33%
Away Win
17%
+16.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.42/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.58
-50% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
22.2 Crosses 14.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
3.65 xG 1.23
57% Ball Possession 43%
27 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
355 Passes 251
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 27
31 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
11.02.2024 Atletico Madrid (K) Atletico Madrid (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Madrid CFF (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid (K)
4-0
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.62 xG 0.82
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
396 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 24
8 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid (K) swept aside Madrid CFF (K) 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Atletico Madrid (K) made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico Madrid (K) had 56% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 44%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.62 to 0.82.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Atletico Madrid (K) 4-0 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 27/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 4-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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