Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-2 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
43%
2.66
Away
20%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.53
No
44%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
53%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
3%
X/X
25%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.1pp
43%
Draw
34%
+9.2pp
20%
Away Win
24%
-4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
36%
+20.5pp
44%
BTTS No
64%
-20.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 28%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
0.86/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.13
-24% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.8
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste edged past Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-2 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 37%, draw 43%, Ferro Carril Oeste 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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