Alvarado 0-0 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.47
Draw
36%
2.7
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.33
No
66%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
37%
-9.2pp
36%
Draw
34%
+2.9pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
39%
-4.4pp
66%
BTTS No
61%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
0.87/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.00
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +0%
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Quilmes
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 0-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
06.05.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 0-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
17.09.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 3-0 HT 2-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
20.09.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 0-1 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
10.05.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 3-4 HT 2-2 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvarado and Quilmes fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (28% / 36% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Alvarado had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Alvarado and 1.00 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs Quilmes?

Alvarado 0-0 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 28%, draw 36%, Quilmes 36%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (28/36/36) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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