Alvarado 0-0 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.45
Over 2.5
31%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.7pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.8pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
65%
+4.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
35%
-4.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.8pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
1.02/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/0.99
-3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Quilmes
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
06.05.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 0-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
17.09.2022 Alvarado Alvarado 3-0 HT 2-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
20.09.2021 Alvarado Alvarado 0-1 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
10.05.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 3-4 HT 2-2 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvarado and Quilmes fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match split (31% / 33% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alvarado had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Alvarado and 1.25 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs Quilmes?

Alvarado 0-0 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated an Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 31%, draw 33%, Quilmes 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Quilmes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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