Deportivo Moron 1-2 Club Atletico Mitre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Sep 2024

📅22/09/2024 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
36%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.26
Over 2.5
26%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.67
No
67%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.3pp
32%
Draw
34%
-1.0pp
36%
Away Win
27%
+8.2pp
74%
Under 2.5
76%
-2.1pp
26%
Over 2.5
24%
+2.1pp
33%
BTTS Yes
33%
-0.8pp
67%
BTTS No
67%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Atletico Mitre EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -4%
1.12/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/1.05
-3% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
268 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Club Atletico Mitre
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
04.05.2024 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
18.09.2022 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Mitre Club Atletico Mitre ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Club Atletico Mitre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Mitre nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Moron 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 32% / 36% — and on the day Club Atletico Mitre made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (67%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Deportivo Moron had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Deportivo Moron and 0.00 for Club Atletico Mitre.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Club Atletico Mitre?

Deportivo Moron 1-2 Club Atletico Mitre in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Club Atletico Mitre?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Atletico Mitre win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 32%, draw 32%, Club Atletico Mitre 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Atletico Mitre) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Club Atletico Mitre) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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