Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 22 Sep 2024

Gimnasia Jujuy
1-0 HT 1-0
Ferro Carril Oeste
📅22/09/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Ferro Carril Oeste Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.45
Over 2.5
44%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.16
No
52%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.2pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gimnasia Jujuy v Ferro Carril Oeste — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +14%
1.16/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.18
-7% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 3.8

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Ferro Carril Oeste Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
18.06.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
11.02.2023 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
21.08.2022 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 0-1 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
21.08.2021 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
10.04.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Jujuy vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Jujuy edged past Ferro Carril Oeste 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Jujuy found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Gimnasia Jujuy and 1.17 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Jujuy vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 22/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Jujuy win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Jujuy 40%, draw 31%, Ferro Carril Oeste 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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