Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 Gimnasia Jujuy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 22%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.60/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.46
+18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ferro Carril Oeste
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.06.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 3-0 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
11.02.2023 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-1 HT 1-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
21.08.2022 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 0-1 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
21.08.2021 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 0-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
10.04.2021 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
23.09.2015 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Jujuy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste saw off Gimnasia Jujuy 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ferro Carril Oeste as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.17 for Gimnasia Jujuy.

What was the final score of Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 Gimnasia Jujuy in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ferro Carril Oeste win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ferro Carril Oeste 43%, draw 31%, Gimnasia Jujuy 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ferro Carril Oeste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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