Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-0 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.53
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.1pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.7pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.5pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.7pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.6pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.9pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.98/0.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.09
-24% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro saw off Nueva Chicago 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 36% / 23%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Y Tiro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (66%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 2-0 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 40%, draw 36%, Nueva Chicago 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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