Union Santa Fe 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
67%
1.45
Over
33%
2.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.24
No
63%
1.57
Total Goals
0-1
39%
1.99
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
15%
5.79
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
3.46
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
15%
4.7
X/2
9%
6.24
X/X
16%
3.42
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
11%
5.32
2/X
7%
15.2
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata The Market 32%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.15/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.18
-13% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
25.2 Crosses 18.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.99 xG 1.22
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
254 Passes 264
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2024 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 2-3 HT 1-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
04.06.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
19.08.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
23.04.2022 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
20.09.2021 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata 1-0 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
13.03.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata Gimnasia La Plata ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
1-0
AWAY Gimnasia La Plata
0.68 xG 0.29
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
371 Passes 222
83% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 9
41 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia La Plata
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Union Santa Fe came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Gimnasia La Plata 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Union Santa Fe had 61% of the ball to Gimnasia La Plata's 39%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 0.68 to 0.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia La Plata led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.17 for Gimnasia La Plata.

Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia La Plata Result & Final Score

Union Santa Fe 1-0 Gimnasia La Plata in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia La Plata Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 45%, draw 30%, Gimnasia La Plata 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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