Sydney (K) 3-2 Brisbane Roar (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 2 Mar 2025

Sydney (K)
3-2 HT 1-0
Brisbane Roar (K)
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Sydney (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.0
Over 2.5
43%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-5.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
54%
-10.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sydney (K) v Brisbane Roar (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sydney (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.03/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.68/1.56
-9% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +141% / -32%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
260 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
14.6 Crosses 18.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Sydney (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sydney (K)
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.89 xG 1.19
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
255 Passes 308
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
10.02.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
19.01.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-3 HT 1-2 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) AVUSTW
09.12.2018 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 5-1 HT 1-1 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
27.10.2017 Sydney (K) Sydney (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW

Sydney (K) 3-2 Brisbane Roar (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sydney (K)
3-2
AWAY Brisbane Roar (K)
1.02 xG 0.87
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
240 Passes 240
67% Pass Accuracy 64%
25 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sydney (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sydney (K) squeezed past Brisbane Roar (K) 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sydney (K) as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sydney (K) had 49% of the ball to Brisbane Roar (K)'s 51%, shots finished 21-8, expected goals 1.02 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Sydney (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Sydney (K) and 1.40 for Brisbane Roar (K).

What was the final score of Sydney (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Sydney (K) 3-2 Brisbane Roar (K) in the Australia - W-League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sydney (K) vs Brisbane Roar (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sydney (K) 45%, draw 27%, Brisbane Roar (K) 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sydney (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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