Daejeon Citizen 1-0 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.73
No
53%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.54
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 32% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.46
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.45
X/2
12%
8.17
X/X
11%
5.03
2/1
8%
23.0
2/2
10%
6.23
2/X
8%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.2pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS No
46%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
Crosses 12.6
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Suwon City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
390 Passes 353
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
7 Crosses 44
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-2 HT 1-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
29.06.2024 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-2 HT 0-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
14.04.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-0 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
22.10.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
01.09.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
10.05.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
1-0
AWAY Suwon City
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 2
585 Passes 330
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daejeon Citizen edged past Suwon City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Daejeon Citizen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 62% of the ball to Suwon City's 38%, shots finished 16-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.17 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Suwon City?

Daejeon Citizen 1-0 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 42%, draw 29%, Suwon City 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Daejeon Citizen), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
2 Mar 2025
10:30 Gangwon vs Jeju United Analysis →