Suwon City 1-0 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.3
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
14.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.58 — our 26% vs market 22.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.49
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.15
X/1
15%
5.26
X/2
7%
5.74
X/X
10%
4.63
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
18%
3.94
2/X
11%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
39%
+2.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.32/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.92
+43% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -44%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.0
16.2 Crosses 21.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon City
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
365 Passes 339
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
01.09.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-1 HT 0-1 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
10.05.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 2-1 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
09.04.2023 Suwon City Suwon City 5-3 HT 0-2 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon City
1-0
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
39% Ball Possession 61%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
279 Passes 483
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Suwon City vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon City nicked a narrow win over Daejeon Citizen 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Suwon City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Suwon City had 39% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 61%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Suwon City had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Suwon City and 1.50 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Suwon City vs Daejeon Citizen?

Suwon City 1-0 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon City vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Suwon City 42%, draw 27%, Daejeon Citizen 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Suwon City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Suwon City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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