Croatia Zmijavci 2-1 HNK Cibalia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.27
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.51
Over 2.5
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.06
No
61%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
40%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.1pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.74/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.24
-37% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
1W-1D-0L
AWAY HNK Cibalia
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia 3-3 HT 0-2 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci HIR2
14.04.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 2-0 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Croatia Zmijavci
2-1
AWAY HNK Cibalia
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Croatia Zmijavci vs HNK Cibalia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Croatia Zmijavci edged past HNK Cibalia 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Croatia Zmijavci found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Croatia Zmijavci had 46% of the ball to HNK Cibalia's 54%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Croatia Zmijavci had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Croatia Zmijavci and 1.50 for HNK Cibalia.

What was the final score of Croatia Zmijavci vs HNK Cibalia?

Croatia Zmijavci 2-1 HNK Cibalia in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Croatia Zmijavci vs HNK Cibalia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Croatia Zmijavci win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Croatia Zmijavci 35%, draw 30%, HNK Cibalia 35%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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