HNK Cibalia 3-3 Croatia Zmijavci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.74
Over 2.5
55%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
54%
-8.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
46%
+8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.2pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HNK Cibalia EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.44/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.60
+86% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
281 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HNK Cibalia
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 6
14.04.2024 Croatia Zmijavci Croatia Zmijavci 2-0 HT 0-0 HNK Cibalia HNK Cibalia HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HNK Cibalia
3-3
AWAY Croatia Zmijavci
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HNK Cibalia and Croatia Zmijavci couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was HNK Cibalia at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, HNK Cibalia had 63% of the ball to Croatia Zmijavci's 37%, shots finished 17-9.

What was the final score of HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci?

HNK Cibalia 3-3 Croatia Zmijavci in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HNK Cibalia vs Croatia Zmijavci?

Before kick-off our model rated a HNK Cibalia win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split HNK Cibalia 43%, draw 26%, Croatia Zmijavci 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (HNK Cibalia) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (HNK Cibalia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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