Dubrava Zagreb 2-0 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.52
Over 2.5
41%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-6.3pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.0pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dubrava Zagreb EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.55/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.77
+8% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / +85%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Dugopolje
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.03.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-0 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
18.11.2023 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-2 HT 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb Dubrava Zagreb HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dubrava Zagreb
2-0
AWAY Dugopolje
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dubrava Zagreb vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dubrava Zagreb got the better of Dugopolje 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Dubrava Zagreb found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dubrava Zagreb had 51% of the ball to Dugopolje's 49%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dubrava Zagreb had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dubrava Zagreb and 0.50 for Dugopolje.

What was the final score of Dubrava Zagreb vs Dugopolje?

Dubrava Zagreb 2-0 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dubrava Zagreb vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dubrava Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Dubrava Zagreb 39%, draw 32%, Dugopolje 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dubrava Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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