Eastern 3-1 Kowloon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - FA Cup, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
2%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-7.5pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.3pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Kowloon City EU Bookmakers 17%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+69% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
325 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Kowloon City
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
23.02.2025 Kowloon City Kowloon City 1-5 HT 1-2 Eastern Eastern HK1
22.09.2024 Kowloon City Kowloon City 1-1 HT 1-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
3-1
AWAY Kowloon City
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Eastern vs Kowloon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern saw off Kowloon City 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Eastern as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Eastern had 57% of the ball to Kowloon City's 43%, shots finished 17-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Eastern had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Eastern and 1.00 for Kowloon City.

What was the final score of Eastern vs Kowloon City?

Eastern 3-1 Kowloon City in the Hong Kong - FA Cup on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs Kowloon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Eastern 60%, draw 22%, Kowloon City 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HONFK More Hong Kong - FA Cup
2 Mar 2025
13:30 Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA Analysis →