Hong Kong FC 2-0 Southern District RSA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - FA Cup, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
58%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.81
No
62%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
22%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+8.4pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.6pp
58%
Away Win
67%
-8.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
51%
-13.5pp
62%
BTTS No
49%
+13.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
260 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Southern District RSA
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.12.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
10.11.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 3-4 HT 2-3 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
06.04.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 3-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
25.02.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-5 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
21.01.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-4 HT 2-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONSAP
31.12.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 2-2 HT 1-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HONSAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong FC
2-0
AWAY Southern District RSA
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong FC saw off Southern District RSA 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Southern District RSA carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hong Kong FC had 37% of the ball to Southern District RSA's 63%, shots finished 5-21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southern District RSA led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Hong Kong FC and 3.00 for Southern District RSA.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA?

Hong Kong FC 2-0 Southern District RSA in the Hong Kong - FA Cup on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southern District RSA win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 22%, draw 20%, Southern District RSA 58%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Southern District RSA) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southern District RSA) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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