Hong Kong FC 3-4 Southern District RSA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
40%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
11%
+6.4pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.4pp
62%
Away Win
71%
-8.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.0pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 75%
+4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
0.61/2.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.17/0.90
-15% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -26%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
238 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 434 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Southern District RSA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 3-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
25.02.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-5 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
21.01.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-4 HT 2-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONSAP
31.12.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 2-2 HT 1-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HONSAP
07.05.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
30.10.2022 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-0 HT 0-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong FC
3-4
AWAY Southern District RSA
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 21
7 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southern District RSA edged past Hong Kong FC 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 2-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Southern District RSA as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Hong Kong FC had 49% of the ball to Southern District RSA's 51%, shots finished 10-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southern District RSA led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hong Kong FC and 2.50 for Southern District RSA.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA?

Hong Kong FC 3-4 Southern District RSA in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southern District RSA win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 18%, draw 20%, Southern District RSA 62%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southern District RSA), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southern District RSA) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HK1 More Hong Kong - Premier League
10 Nov 2024
10:00 Eastern vs North District Analysis →