Hong Kong FC 0-5 Southern District RSA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
23%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
-9.5pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/0.92
-36% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +79%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Southern District RSA
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.01.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-4 HT 2-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONSAP
31.12.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 2-2 HT 1-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HONSAP
07.05.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
30.10.2022 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-0 HT 0-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
25.02.2022 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
24.10.2021 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 3-0 HT 3-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong FC
0-5
AWAY Southern District RSA
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southern District RSA cruised past Hong Kong FC 5-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Southern District RSA found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Hong Kong FC had 46% of the ball to Southern District RSA's 54%, shots finished 4-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southern District RSA led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hong Kong FC and 1.67 for Southern District RSA.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA?

Hong Kong FC 0-5 Southern District RSA in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hong Kong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 34%, draw 32%, Southern District RSA 34%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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