Hong Kong FC 2-4 Southern District RSA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Sapling Cup, 21 Jan 2024

Hong Kong FC
2-4 HT 2-0
Southern District RSA
📅21/01/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Hong Kong - Sapling Cup – 2023/2024

Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
2.25
Draw
16%
3.18
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No
58%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
4%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
40%
+14.2pp
16%
Draw
28%
-11.7pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hong Kong FC v Southern District RSA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Southern District RSA
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
31.12.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 2-2 HT 1-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HONSAP
07.05.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
30.10.2022 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 0-0 HT 0-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
25.02.2022 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
24.10.2021 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 3-0 HT 3-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1

Hong Kong FC 2-4 Southern District RSA — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong FC
2-4
AWAY Southern District RSA
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southern District RSA saw off Hong Kong FC 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hong Kong FC at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hong Kong FC had 38% of the ball to Southern District RSA's 62%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Hong Kong FC and 1.20 for Southern District RSA.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA?

Hong Kong FC 2-4 Southern District RSA in the Hong Kong - Sapling Cup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hong Kong FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 55%, draw 16%, Southern District RSA 29%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hong Kong FC) ✗ BTTS No
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