HK U23 1-2 Eastern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Sapling Cup, 21 Jan 2024

📅21/01/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
31%
+6.3pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.8pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HK U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
260 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HK U23
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Eastern
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
37% Ball Possession 63%
4 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Eastern Eastern 3-0 HT 2-0 HK U23 HK U23 HK1
19.02.2023 Eastern Eastern 4-0 HT 0-0 HK U23 HK U23 HK1
04.12.2022 HK U23 HK U23 0-5 HT 0-4 Eastern Eastern HK1
27.11.2021 Eastern Eastern 4-0 HT 3-0 HK U23 HK U23 HONFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HK U23
1-2
AWAY Eastern
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 5
POST-MATCH HK U23 vs Eastern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern squeezed past HK U23 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Eastern made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, HK U23 had 36% of the ball to Eastern's 64%, shots finished 6-19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Eastern led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for HK U23 and 4.00 for Eastern.

What was the final score of HK U23 vs Eastern?

HK U23 1-2 Eastern in the Hong Kong - Sapling Cup on 21/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HK U23 vs Eastern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split HK U23 37%, draw 23%, Eastern 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastern) ✓ Over 2.5
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