Eastern 2-1 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
24%
6.26
Away
14%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
3.17
Over 2.5
59%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
79%
-17.1pp
24%
Draw
12%
+11.0pp
14%
Away Win
8%
+6.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
28%
+12.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
72%
-12.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
2.83/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/3.25
-10% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
432 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern
3W-0D-0L
AWAY North District
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.09.2024 Eastern Eastern 5-1 HT 3-0 North District North District HK1
26.05.2024 North District North District 1-2 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
06.03.2024 Eastern Eastern 1-0 HT 1-0 North District North District HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
2-1
AWAY North District
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastern vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern edged past North District 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eastern as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Eastern had 54% of the ball to North District's 46%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Eastern had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Eastern and 0.67 for North District.

What was the final score of Eastern vs North District?

Eastern 2-1 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Eastern 62%, draw 24%, North District 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eastern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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10 Nov 2024
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