North District 1-2 Eastern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.59
Over 2.5
59%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.4pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
56%
Away Win
61%
-5.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.1pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern EU Bookmakers 66%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +8%
0.47/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.63
-56% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +46%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 496 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Eastern
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 7
0 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2024 Eastern Eastern 1-0 HT 1-0 North District North District HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North District
1-2
AWAY Eastern
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH North District vs Eastern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern nicked a narrow win over North District 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eastern as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, North District had 53% of the ball to Eastern's 47%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of North District vs Eastern?

North District 1-2 Eastern in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Eastern?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split North District 22%, draw 21%, Eastern 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastern) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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