Kitchee vs Lee Man Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kitchee v Lee Man — Team-Based Signals
Kitchee vs Lee Man Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 2-1
Kitchee
HK1
2-2
HT 1-1
Lee Man
HK1
2-1
HT 2-0
Kitchee
HK1
2-2
HT 1-2
Kitchee
HK1
0-2
HT 0-0
Kitchee
HK1
Kitchee 2-3 Lee Man — Actual Match Statistics
Lee Man nicked a narrow win over Kitchee 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (39% / 22% / 39%) promised a tight game; Lee Man found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Kitchee had 61% of the ball to Lee Man's 39%, shots finished 24-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lee Man led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kitchee and 2.00 for Lee Man.
What was the final score of Kitchee vs Lee Man?
Kitchee 2-3 Lee Man in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kitchee vs Lee Man?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kitchee win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kitchee 39%, draw 22%, Lee Man 39%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.