Eastern 5-1 North District — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 12 Sep 2024

📅12/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.27
Draw
23%
5.28
Away
18%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
74%
-15.7pp
23%
Draw
16%
+7.4pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+8.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY North District EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.45/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/3.00
-18% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
484 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern
2W-0D-0L
AWAY North District
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 North District North District 1-2 HT 0-0 Eastern Eastern HK1
06.03.2024 Eastern Eastern 1-0 HT 1-0 North District North District HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastern
5-1
AWAY North District
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastern vs North District
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastern swept aside North District 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Eastern as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Eastern had 62% of the ball to North District's 38%, shots finished 16-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Eastern had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Eastern and 0.50 for North District.

What was the final score of Eastern vs North District?

Eastern 5-1 North District in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 12/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern vs North District?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastern win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Eastern 59%, draw 23%, North District 18%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eastern), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Eastern) ✓ Over 2.5
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