Hong Kong FC 1-0 Southern District RSA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 22 Dec 2024

📅22/12/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
4%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
13%
+4.7pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
63%
Away Win
69%
-6.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hong Kong FC EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Southern District RSA EU Bookmakers 75%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -16%
0.99/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/1.18
+5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -42%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
250 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hong Kong FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Southern District RSA
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 3-4 HT 2-3 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
06.04.2024 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 3-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HK1
25.02.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 0-5 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
21.01.2024 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-4 HT 2-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HONSAP
31.12.2023 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA 2-2 HT 1-0 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC HONSAP
07.05.2023 Hong Kong FC Hong Kong FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Southern District RSA Southern District RSA HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hong Kong FC
1-0
AWAY Southern District RSA
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong FC edged past Southern District RSA 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. Southern District RSA carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hong Kong FC had 52% of the ball to Southern District RSA's 48%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southern District RSA led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hong Kong FC and 3.17 for Southern District RSA.

What was the final score of Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA?

Hong Kong FC 1-0 Southern District RSA in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 22/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hong Kong FC vs Southern District RSA?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southern District RSA win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Hong Kong FC 18%, draw 20%, Southern District RSA 63%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southern District RSA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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