Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-2 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 2 Mar 2025

Cerezo Osaka (K)
1-2 HT 0-0
Albirex Niigata (K)
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Japan - WE League Women's – 2025/2026

Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.6
Over 2.5
52%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.9
No
44%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
BTTS Yes — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
59%
-10.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
41%
+10.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+7.2pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cerezo Osaka (K) v Albirex Niigata (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 38%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.38/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.35
-52% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +142%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
24.03.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL

Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-2 Albirex Niigata (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
1-2
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Albirex Niigata (K) edged past Cerezo Osaka (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Albirex Niigata (K) made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka (K) had 52% of the ball to Albirex Niigata (K)'s 48%, shots finished 9-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Cerezo Osaka (K) and 0.50 for Albirex Niigata (K).

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-2 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerezo Osaka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 38%, draw 28%, Albirex Niigata (K) 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerezo Osaka (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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