Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-4 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
9.57
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
58%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
25%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 Away Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
7%
+12.8pp
22%
Draw
14%
+7.6pp
58%
Away Win
79%
-20.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.0pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 84%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.18/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/0.60
+105% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +36%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 12
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 5-1 HT 3-0 Parceiro Nagano (K) Parceiro Nagano (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano (K)
1-4
AWAY Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) cruised past Parceiro Nagano (K) 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano (K) had 39% of the ball to Tokyo Verdy B. (K)'s 61%, shots finished 8-22.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Parceiro Nagano (K) 1-4 Tokyo Verdy B. (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano (K) vs Tokyo Verdy B. (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano (K) 20%, draw 22%, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 58%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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