Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 5-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.51
No
53%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
20%
X/2
3%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
79%
-12.1pp
19%
Draw
15%
+4.0pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
36%
+11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
64%
-11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K) EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K) EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
2.68/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/3.32
+10% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -29%
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
484 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy B. (K)
5-1
AWAY Parceiro Nagano (K)
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) cruised past Parceiro Nagano (K) 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tokyo Verdy B. (K) as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy B. (K) had 53% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano (K)'s 47%, shots finished 18-12.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 5-1 Parceiro Nagano (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy B. (K) vs Parceiro Nagano (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tokyo Verdy B. (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy B. (K) 67%, draw 19%, Parceiro Nagano (K) 14%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tokyo Verdy B. (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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