Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-1 JEF United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
35%
-6.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+6.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.1pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United (K) EU Bookmakers 39%
-46% / -46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.00/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/0.72
-100% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
226 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY JEF United (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
18.04.2024 JEF United (K) JEF United (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerezo Osaka (K) Cerezo Osaka (K) JWEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerezo Osaka (K)
1-1
AWAY JEF United (K)
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cerezo Osaka (K) vs JEF United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerezo Osaka (K) and JEF United (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was JEF United (K) at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Cerezo Osaka (K) had 57% of the ball to JEF United (K)'s 43%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Cerezo Osaka (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Cerezo Osaka (K) 1-1 JEF United (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerezo Osaka (K) vs JEF United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an JEF United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cerezo Osaka (K) 29%, draw 28%, JEF United (K) 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (JEF United (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (JEF United (K)) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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