INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 3-0 Albirex Niigata (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.52
Over 2.5
48%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.27
No
51%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-7.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K) EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
1.31/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
-20% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +23%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
06.05.2024 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) JWEL
01.10.2023 INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Albirex Niigata (K) Albirex Niigata (K) JKLK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)
3-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata (K)
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) swept aside Albirex Niigata (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) had 54% of the ball to Albirex Niigata (K)'s 46%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) and 0.50 for Albirex Niigata (K).

What was the final score of INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 3-0 Albirex Niigata (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) vs Albirex Niigata (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split INAC Kobe Leonessa (K) 46%, draw 25%, Albirex Niigata (K) 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (INAC Kobe Leonessa (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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