Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 Zhetysu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.99
No
51%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+4.6pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-7.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+7.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
46%
+2.7pp
51%
BTTS No
54%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zhetysu EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +18%
1.71/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.75
+36% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +55%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
393 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Zhetysu
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
19.05.2024 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
05.08.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 1-1 HT 1-1 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
13.05.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 HT 0-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZP
29.04.2023 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZKK
19.04.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 3-0 HT 2-0 Zhetysu Zhetysu KAZKK
03.07.2021 Zhetysu Zhetysu 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar and Zhetysu couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kyzyl-Zhar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyzyl-Zhar had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 0.17 for Zhetysu.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu?

Kyzyl-Zhar 1-1 Zhetysu in the Kazakistan - Super League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyzyl-Zhar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 47%, draw 30%, Zhetysu 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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