FC Astana 1-1 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
-0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat EU Bookmakers 32%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +14%
0.87/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.21
-36% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Kairat
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
01.09.2024 Kairat Kairat 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
29.06.2024 FC Astana FC Astana 1-3 HT 1-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
27.08.2023 Kairat Kairat 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
16.04.2023 FC Astana FC Astana 0-3 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
15.10.2022 Kairat Kairat 0-4 HT 0-1 FC Astana FC Astana KAZP
14.05.2022 FC Astana FC Astana 6-0 HT 3-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Kairat
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana and Kairat couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was FC Astana at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Astana and 1.17 for Kairat.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Kairat?

FC Astana 1-1 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Kairat?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 45%, draw 26%, Kairat 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Astana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Astana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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