Safa 3-1 Tadamon Sour — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

Safa
3-1 HT 1-0
Tadamon Sour
📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Lebanon - Premier League – 2024/2025

Safa vs Tadamon Sour Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.32
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
3.05
No
66%
1.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
32%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
72%
-0.5pp
16%
Draw
19%
-3.5pp
13%
Away Win
9%
+4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
34%
BTTS Yes
29%
+5.0pp
66%
BTTS No
71%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Safa v Tadamon Sour — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Safa EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 11%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.02
+36% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / +15%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Safa vs Tadamon Sour
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Safa got the better of Tadamon Sour 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Safa as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Safa vs Tadamon Sour?

Safa 3-1 Tadamon Sour in the Lebanon - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Safa vs Tadamon Sour?

Before kick-off our model rated a Safa win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Safa 71%, draw 16%, Tadamon Sour 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Safa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Safa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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