Shabab Baalbeck 1-2 Al Ahed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
16.01
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
59%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
3.49
No
48%
1.25
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
36%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
4%
+15.0pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.5pp
59%
Away Win
81%
-21.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
24%
+27.3pp
48%
BTTS No
76%
-27.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Baalbeck EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahed EU Bookmakers 85%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) / -100%
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Ahed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahed nicked a narrow win over Shabab Baalbeck 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Ahed as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Ahed?

Shabab Baalbeck 1-2 Al Ahed in the Lebanon - Premier League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Ahed?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahed win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Shabab Baalbeck 19%, draw 21%, Al Ahed 59%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahed), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahed) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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