Al Raed 1-1 Al Ettifaq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 2 Mar 2025

📅02/03/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.05
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 30% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
34%
-7.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
46%
Away Win
39%
+6.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Raed EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ettifaq EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.35/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.10
+24% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 80%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
15.4 Crosses 18.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Raed
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Al Ettifaq
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.42
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
260 Passes 400
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2024 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
27.04.2024 Al Raed Al Raed 2-2 HT 1-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
04.11.2023 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
03.03.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
15.09.2022 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
05.02.2022 Al Raed Al Raed 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ettifaq Al Ettifaq SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Raed
1-1
AWAY Al Ettifaq
0.62 xG 1.04
32% Ball Possession 68%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
219 Passes 558
77% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Raed vs Al Ettifaq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Raed and Al Ettifaq couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ettifaq at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Raed had 32% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 68%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.62 to 1.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Raed had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Raed and 1.00 for Al Ettifaq.

What was the final score of Al Raed vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Raed 1-1 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Raed vs Al Ettifaq?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ettifaq win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Raed 26%, draw 28%, Al Ettifaq 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Ettifaq), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ettifaq) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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