Al-Qadsiah vs Al Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Qadsiah v Al Riyadh — Team-Based Signals
Al-Qadsiah vs Al Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Al-Qadsiah 1-0 Al Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics
Al-Qadsiah edged past Al Riyadh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 68% of the ball to Al Riyadh's 32%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 4.31 to 0.10 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al-Qadsiah's control.
What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Riyadh?
Al-Qadsiah 1-0 Al Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Riyadh?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 56%, draw 20%, Al Riyadh 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.