Al Riyadh 2-1 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
39%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.37
2-3 Goals
47%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
25%
+13.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
50%
-11.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 55%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
236 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.2 Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
2-1
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.53 xG 2.13
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
178 Passes 490
73% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 38
15 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh edged past Al-Qadsiah 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Al Riyadh made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 31% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 69%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.53 to 2.13 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Riyadh 2-1 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 38%, draw 23%, Al-Qadsiah 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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