Damac FC 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.8
Over 2.5
34%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
1.75
No
64%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
3.12
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
16%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 39% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
52%
+14.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
48%
-14.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
53%
-16.7pp
64%
BTTS No
47%
+16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
1.22/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.14
-4% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 82%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
19.0 Crosses 18.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.89 xG 2.07
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 424
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.02.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
25.08.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
31.05.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
02.02.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 HT 2-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
10.02.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 HT 1-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
19.12.2021 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 5-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
1-0
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.41 xG 0.26
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
181 Passes 476
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC edged past Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 30% / 37% — and on the day Damac FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

On the day, Damac FC had 32% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 68%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.41 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Damac FC and 2.50 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Damac FC 1-0 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 33%, draw 30%, Al Shabab Riyadh 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
4 Oct 2024
18:00 Al Khaleej vs Al Kholood Analysis →
18:15 Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadsiah Analysis →