Damac FC 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 16 Feb 2024

Damac FC
0-1 HT 0-0
Al Shabab Riyadh
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Damac FC vs Al Shabab Riyadh Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+10.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-9.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.5pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Damac FC v Al Shabab Riyadh — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 43%
+24% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.46/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.21
+36% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +1%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 82%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
23.1 Crosses 19.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Damac FC vs Al Shabab Riyadh Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.17 xG 2.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 410
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-1 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
31.05.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 1-4 HT 1-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
02.02.2023 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 HT 2-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
10.02.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 HT 1-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
19.12.2021 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 5-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SAKK
17.09.2021 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD

Damac FC 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
0-1
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
0.41 xG 0.84
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
280 Passes 441
78% Pass Accuracy 85%
7 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Riyadh squeezed past Damac FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Damac FC at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Damac FC had 41% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 59%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.41 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Riyadh led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Damac FC and 2.50 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Damac FC 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 44%, draw 26%, Al Shabab Riyadh 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Damac FC), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Damac FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SUUD More Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League
16 Feb 2024
20:00 Al Akhdoud vs Al Ahli Jeddah Analysis →
20:00 Al Wehda vs Al Taee Analysis →