Al Khaleej 1-0 Al Kholood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
43%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.67
Over 2.5
44%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.85
No
58%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.74
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.27
6+ Goals
8%
21.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 33% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
19%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
43%
Away Win
32%
+10.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
50%
-8.0pp
58%
BTTS No
50%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khaleej EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.25/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/0.77
+13% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
17.4 Crosses 8.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khaleej
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Kholood
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
14.02.2022 Al Kholood Al Kholood 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej SUUD1
06.10.2021 Al Khaleej Al Khaleej 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Kholood Al Kholood SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khaleej
1-0
AWAY Al Kholood
0.99 xG 0.98
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
447 Passes 248
87% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 12
31 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Khaleej vs Al Kholood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khaleej nicked a narrow win over Al Kholood 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Kholood at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Khaleej had 62% of the ball to Al Kholood's 38%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.99 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Al Khaleej had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Khaleej and 0.50 for Al Kholood.

What was the final score of Al Khaleej vs Al Kholood?

Al Khaleej 1-0 Al Kholood in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khaleej vs Al Kholood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Khaleej 32%, draw 25%, Al Kholood 43%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Kholood) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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