Estudiantes Caseros 0-1 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 2 Mar 2026

📅02/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
Over 2.5
30%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.53
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.0pp
33%
Draw
32%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.8pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +22%
1.34/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.17
+14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Almirante Brown
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2025 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
16.02.2025 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 5-2 HT 2-1 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
13.03.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
24.07.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-2 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
14.03.2021 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
04.10.2015 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almirante Brown nicked a narrow win over Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes Caseros at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 1.17 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Almirante Brown?

Estudiantes Caseros 0-1 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 02/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 44%, draw 33%, Almirante Brown 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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