Estudiantes Caseros 5-2 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒01:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.53
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.0pp
27%
Draw
33%
-5.2pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.6pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
1.40/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.19
+15% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
2W-0D-3L
AWAY Almirante Brown
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.03.2022 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
24.07.2021 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 1-2 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
14.03.2021 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-1 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBN
04.10.2015 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros ARJPBM
12.09.2014 Estudiantes Caseros Estudiantes Caseros 3-1 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros ran out comfortable winners over Almirante Brown 5-2. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Estudiantes Caseros as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Almirante Brown led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Estudiantes Caseros and 1.20 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Almirante Brown?

Estudiantes Caseros 5-2 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 43%, draw 27%, Almirante Brown 29%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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