Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 San Miguel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.7
Away
26%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
Over 2.5
26%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
25%
2.33
No
75%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
34%
+13.3pp
27%
Draw
34%
-6.9pp
26%
Away Win
32%
-6.4pp
25%
BTTS Yes
39%
-13.8pp
75%
BTTS No
61%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Y Tiro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY San Miguel EU Bookmakers 36%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.80/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/0.73
-23% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Y Tiro vs San Miguel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Y Tiro nicked a narrow win over San Miguel 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimnasia Y Tiro as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (75%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Y Tiro vs San Miguel?

Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-0 San Miguel in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs San Miguel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Y Tiro win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Y Tiro 47%, draw 27%, San Miguel 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Y Tiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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