Jablonec 0-3 Viktoria Plzen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Cup, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
28%
3.08
6+ Goals
13%
9.86
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.08 — our 28% vs market 26.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.6pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Plzen EU Bookmakers 57%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.16
+150% / +114% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.55 xG 1.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
197 Passes 290
65% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
08.10.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-2 HT 2-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
08.04.2023 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 3-2 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
16.10.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 0-3 HT 0-1 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
19.03.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 0-0 HT 0-0 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen ÇEK
24.10.2021 Viktoria Plzen Viktoria Plzen 5-0 HT 2-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
0-3
AWAY Viktoria Plzen
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viktoria Plzen swept aside Jablonec 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Viktoria Plzen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Jablonec had 53% of the ball to Viktoria Plzen's 47%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Plzen led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jablonec and 2.67 for Viktoria Plzen.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzen?

Jablonec 0-3 Viktoria Plzen in the Czech Republic - Cup on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Viktoria Plzen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Viktoria Plzen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 30%, draw 25%, Viktoria Plzen 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Viktoria Plzen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Viktoria Plzen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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