Marumo Gallants 1-2 Casric Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.67
Over 2.5
38%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+4.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.6pp
38%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marumo Gallants EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Casric Stars EU Bookmakers 29%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.15/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.99
-10% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marumo Gallants
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Casric Stars
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
27.08.2023 Casric Stars Casric Stars 2-2 HT 1-2 Marumo Gallants Marumo Gallants GAF1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marumo Gallants
1-2
AWAY Casric Stars
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Marumo Gallants vs Casric Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casric Stars nicked a narrow win over Marumo Gallants 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Marumo Gallants at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marumo Gallants had 58% of the ball to Casric Stars's 42%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of Marumo Gallants vs Casric Stars?

Marumo Gallants 1-2 Casric Stars in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marumo Gallants vs Casric Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marumo Gallants win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marumo Gallants 42%, draw 28%, Casric Stars 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Marumo Gallants) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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