Pretoria Callies 1-3 Magesi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - 1st Division, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.53
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
25%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.0pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.8pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.8pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.4pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.2pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pretoria Callies EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Magesi EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
0.99/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.65
-19% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +80%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pretoria Callies
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Magesi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
02.09.2023 Magesi Magesi 0-0 HT 0-0 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies GAF1
26.02.2023 Magesi Magesi 1-2 HT 1-1 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies GAF1
18.01.2023 Pretoria Callies Pretoria Callies 2-0 HT 1-0 Magesi Magesi GAF1
POST-MATCH Pretoria Callies vs Magesi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magesi beat Pretoria Callies 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 37% / 31%) promised a tight game; Magesi found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Pretoria Callies had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pretoria Callies and 0.33 for Magesi.

What was the final score of Pretoria Callies vs Magesi?

Pretoria Callies 1-3 Magesi in the South Afrika - 1st Division on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pretoria Callies vs Magesi?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Pretoria Callies 32%, draw 37%, Magesi 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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