Knockbreda 2-0 Ballinamallard United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 2 Apr 2024

📅02/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
5.09
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
17%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Knockbreda EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Ballinamallard United EU Bookmakers 66%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.33/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.67
+16% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +84%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 447 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Knockbreda
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Ballinamallard United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 6-1 HT 2-1 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
04.11.2023 Knockbreda Knockbreda 1-2 HT 1-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
19.08.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 3-0 HT 2-0 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
15.04.2023 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 4-1 HT 0-1 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
01.04.2023 Knockbreda Knockbreda 3-2 HT 0-1 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United KİRL1
26.11.2022 Ballinamallard United Ballinamallard United 2-1 HT 0-1 Knockbreda Knockbreda KİRL1
POST-MATCH Knockbreda vs Ballinamallard United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Knockbreda saw off Ballinamallard United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Ballinamallard United carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ballinamallard United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Knockbreda and 3.17 for Ballinamallard United.

What was the final score of Knockbreda vs Ballinamallard United?

Knockbreda 2-0 Ballinamallard United in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Knockbreda vs Ballinamallard United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ballinamallard United win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Knockbreda 19%, draw 24%, Ballinamallard United 57%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ballinamallard United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ballinamallard United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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