Abha 0-8 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 2 Apr 2024

Abha
0-8 HT 0-5
Al Nassr
📅02/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2023/2024

Abha vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
7.18
Draw
19%
5.15
Away
60%
1.3
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.91
2-3 Goals
35%
2.18
4-5 Goals
25%
2.47
6+ Goals
17%
4.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
13%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
11%
+9.8pp
19%
Draw
16%
+2.8pp
60%
Away Win
72%
-12.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.0pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Abha v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abha EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 77%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
0.98/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.22/1.10
-17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +26%
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
242 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 491 · 88%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.2
16.2 Crosses 20.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Abha vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Abha
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.20 xG 1.61
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
256 Passes 416
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.10.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-2 HT 2-1 Abha Abha SUUD
18.03.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 0-1 Abha Abha SUUD
14.03.2023 Al Nassr Al Nassr 3-1 HT 2-0 Abha Abha SAKK
07.10.2022 Abha Abha 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
26.02.2022 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-0 Abha Abha SUUD
30.09.2021 Abha Abha 1-3 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD

Abha 0-8 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abha
0-8
AWAY Al Nassr
0.34 xG 4.11
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 7
260 Passes 594
81% Pass Accuracy 89%
11 Box Touches 32
18 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Abha vs Al Nassr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nassr swept aside Abha 8-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-5. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 8-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Abha had 33% of the ball to Al Nassr's 67%, shots finished 9-20, expected goals 0.34 to 4.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Abha and 2.50 for Al Nassr.

What was the final score of Abha vs Al Nassr?

Abha 0-8 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 02/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abha vs Al Nassr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Abha 21%, draw 19%, Al Nassr 60%. The final score 0-8 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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